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Dallas Mavericks vs. Utah Jazz odds, picks and best bets

Geoff Clark
USA Today Sportsbookwire

The Dallas Mavericks (42-30) meet the Utah Jazz (43-27) Monday at 3 p.m. ET in the NBA's Orlando bubble. We analyze the Mavericks-Jazz NBA betting odds and lines, with picks and best bets.

Mavericks vs. Jazz: Key injuries

Mavericks

  • SG Seth Curry (leg) probable
  • PG Luka Doncic (ankle) out
  • PF Dorian Finney-Smith (hip) out
  • PF Dwight Powell (Achilles) out
  • PF Kristaps Porzingis (knee) out
  • SG Courtney Lee (calf) out

Jazz

  • SG Donovan Mitchell (leg) out
  • G Nigel Williams-Goss (ankle) out
  • G Juwan Morgan (knee) probable

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Mavericks vs. Jazz: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips

NBA odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 1:27 p.m. ET.

Prediction

Jazz 120, Mavericks 108

Moneyline (ML)

The Mavericks (+200) held off the Milwaukee Bucks to pull out a 136-132 overtime win Saturday in one of the most entertaining games of the bubble.

Doncic went off in the game, putting up 36 points, 19 rebounds and 14 assists against the Bucks. It was probably the single-best game any player has had since the NBA restart.

Unfortunately for Dallas, Doncic is listed as "out" on the injury report for Monday. In the 13 games Doncic has missed, Dallas has a 6-7 record straight up and against the spread.

The Jazz (-250) dropped a double-overtime heartbreaker to the Denver Nuggets, 134-132, in their last outing. It was PGJamal Murray's bubble debut and he messed around and almost had a triple-double with a 23-point, 12-rebound, 8-assist stat line.

Utah has been struggling thus far in the restart and has a 2-4 record in their five bubble games.

Since Doncic is out, Mavericks (+200) is a no-go and, regardless of injuries, the Jazz (-250) is too expensive to play. PASS ON THE MONEYLINE.

Line/Against the Spread (ATS)

Don't overthink this one and just BET JAZZ -6 (-110). I know it's tough to back a Utah side that's struggled as much as it has during the restart, especially laying a touchdown to a quality Dallas opponent.

Dallas has struggled, going 2-3 and both of its wins came in overtime. Again, you read above how well Doncic had to play for the Mavericks to win and he will miss the game against Utah. The Jazz have beaten the Mavericks in both meetings this season. Once with Luka, once without.

New to sports betting? A $106 bet on Jazz -6.5 (-106) earns a $100 profit if Utah beats Dallas by eight or more points.

Over/Under (O/U)

Despite the absence of Doncic, OVER 221.5 (-115) is the play on the total. The Over is 9-3 in the last 12 Jazz-Mavericks meetings and 4-0 in the last four Utah games. The total was 1-1 in Jazz-Mavericks games earlier this season and surprisingly the one Over was in the game without Doncic.

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